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FUTURE REPORT · No. 04 13 min read

Is Google Dying?

AI Overviews are wiping out 58% of organic clicks. Here's how to make sure your site isn't left behind — and gets cited in answers from ChatGPT, Perplexity, and the new Google.

Visual: on the left, a classic search-results page fading away. On the right, an AI answer card with three small source citations cited inside it. AI [1] [2] [3]
Ten blue links on the left — one AI answer with three sources on the right. That's the shift.

A client of mine runs an online lighting store. Through 2024 he was getting around 3,000 organic visits a month from Google. In January 2026 he checked again — 1,400. He thought Google had rolled out a new algorithm. It was actually something completely different: Google had added an AI-generated answer at the top of the search results, and half his visitors stopped clicking through to his site.

He's not alone. Ahrefs measured 300,000 keywords and published the finding in February 2026: when an AI Overview appears at the top of the page, the click rate for the top organic result drops by 58%. Position two: 51%. Even position ten — 19%.

This isn't a small tweak. This is a rewrite of the rules of the internet we've known for 27 years. And if you have a business site that relies on organic traffic from Google — this is especially relevant to you.

The numbers that are making every marketer lose sleep

Before we go deeper — here are the four data points that matter most from 2025-2026:

On top of those, there's the zero-click number: SparkToro reports that the share of searches where the user clicks on nothing at all rose from 56% to 69% in a single year. Translation: roughly one in three Google searches now ends without anyone going anywhere — and without any business "earning" the visitor.

"As the novelty wears off and the law of shitty clickthroughs kicks in, I would expect to see clicks reduce further."
— Ryan Law, Director of Marketing, Ahrefs

The story in plain English: the new Google tells the visitor the answer without them having to click. If it isn't talking about you — you don't exist.

A fair caveat

Worth noting: Google itself disputes the methodology of the Pew study. And Ahrefs found that the CTR on the AI Overview itself has risen (from 1.3% to 2.4%) — a sign of stabilization, not reversal. The trend is clear; the pace is debated.

It's not just Google — who's even mentioning you?

In 2026, your potential customer is looking for information in three places:

The big problem: each one has its own "mind" for picking sources. An audit of 680 million AI citations found that ChatGPT and Perplexity overlap on only 11% of the domains they cite. If you show up in one, there's no guarantee at all that you'll show up in the other.

How does each one pick?

The conclusion: "ranking on Google" isn't enough anymore. You need presence in the right places for each engine — and that's a brand new game.

What GEO is — and how it's different from SEO

The term GEO (Generative Engine Optimization) was coined in a research paper from Princeton, Georgia Tech, and the Allen Institute, published in November 2023 and presented at ACM SIGKDD 2024. The researchers tested 9 content tactics across 10,000 queries against a Bing Chat-style AI engine, then validated the findings on Perplexity.

The five winning tactics (each lifted citation visibility by 30%-41%):

  1. Quotation Addition. Articles with quotes from named, credible people get cited far more. The single strongest tactic (+41%).
  2. Statistics Addition. Replacing "many users" with "57% of users". (+37%).
  3. Cite Sources. Linking explicitly to studies, official documents, public data.
  4. Authoritative Voice. Writing clearly, definitively. Not "maybe", "could be", "depends".
  5. Fluency Optimization. Simple sentences, short paragraphs, clean structure.

The big surprise of the study: classic SEO tactics like keyword stuffing actually hurt visibility in AI search. Another surprise — pages ranked mid-tier on Google (around position 5) gained the most: +115% AI visibility. Pages already at position 1 barely moved.

"Traffic is a terrible goal. In a zero-click world, brand mentions — being the answer — are what counts."
— Rand Fishkin, founder of SparkToro

5 things to do on your site tomorrow

A focused checklist for a business owner, based on the research:

  1. Publish original data of your own. "70% of our customers saw a 23% improvement within 90 days" is dramatically better than "the improvement is significant". The strongest signal across every study: content with proprietary statistics earns the most AI citations.
  2. Add expert quotes. A short interview with an industry expert, a quote from the accountant you work with, or a professional quote from yourself (with name and title) — all of these make the page look more credible to AI.
  3. Use schema markup (but carefully). Schema markup is smart tagging that explains the content of a page to Google. It genuinely helps Google AI Overviews (one experiment showed +611% citations). But in another experiment it actually hurt ChatGPT (-71%). Conclusion: schema is a valuable asset — not a silver bullet for every engine.
  4. Put the answer directly, near the top. AI engines extract from the first paragraph that clearly answers the question. If your intro talks about "the importance of" for three paragraphs before getting to the point — to AI you don't exist.
  5. Strengthen your presence on Reddit and Wikipedia. This isn't directly about your site — but ChatGPT and Perplexity cite them far more than they cite individual sites. A Wikipedia entry (if relevant) or active presence in your category's subreddits = an indirect citation pool that ends up name-checking you.

5 things that wipe you off AI search completely

  1. Keyword stuffing. Artificially repeated keywords. The Princeton study explicitly showed this hurts AI visibility.
  2. Content behind paywalls or login walls. AI engines can't read it. In many cases this means you might as well not exist.
  3. Vague claims. "Many users", "studies show", "it's been proven". AI is looking for definitive numerical answers.
  4. Answers buried under long intros. If the actual answer comes after 400 words of preamble — it won't make it into the summary.
  5. No presence in communities. If you're not mentioned on Reddit, G2, Yelp, or industry forums — Perplexity simply doesn't know you exist.

Where Israel stands in 2026

Good news: Google's AI Overviews haven't officially rolled out in Hebrew yet. Google announced in May 2025 that AI Overviews are expanding to "200+ countries and 40+ languages" — but didn't explicitly list Hebrew (Arabic was named explicitly). You have another 6-12 months to prepare before this really hits Israel.

Less-good news:

The alarming data point: a 2026 study by Everything-PR tested 60 English-language questions about Israeli topics across four AI engines. Only three outlets (Jerusalem Post, Times of Israel, and CTech) showed any meaningful presence. 12 of the 24 Israeli news outlets they tracked never appeared even once. The reason wasn't editorial quality — it was closed archives, missing schema, and structure unfriendly to AI crawlers.

Translation: if major news sites with full marketing budgets are vanishing from AI search — a small unprepared business site has zero chance.

Forecast 2027-2029

2027
AI Overviews arrive fully in Hebrew. Sites that are ready in advance will pick up significant traffic from those that aren't. The gap will be especially wide in professional categories (legal, medical, financial advice).
2028
"Organic ranking" changes meaning. Israeli SEO agencies that don't shift to GEO will disappear. Clients will start saying "I want to show up in ChatGPT answers" as routinely as they said "I want to rank #1 on Google" in 2010.
2029
A site that isn't cited by AI is a site that doesn't exist. Business owners will judge their website mainly by the question: "What does ChatGPT say about me?" — exactly how owners in 2015 asked "where am I on Google?".

What to do now — three practical steps

The problem isn't theoretical. It's happening now. But the fix doesn't require throwing everything out and starting over.

If you already have a business site

If you're thinking about a new site

This is actually the best time to build. GEO-friendly from day one is far cheaper than fixing it two years later. Good information architecture, proper schema, content with real data — all of these turn the site into AI's friend rather than something it ignores.

If you're not sure where to start

Talk to someone who gets it. It doesn't have to be me — the important thing is that they actually understand the difference between SEO and GEO. Most search agencies in Israel in 2026 still don't — and they're still selling you the same package as if it were 2018.

VERDICT

The "type and click" internet is winding down. The new internet is "ask and get an answer".

Your site isn't the destination of the search anymore. It's the source. Or it isn't. If it isn't built that way — it disappears.

In short: business owners who rely on organic Google traffic have another 6-12 months to prepare before this really lands in Israel. Whoever prepares — will still be around in 2028. Whoever doesn't — won't.